Survival Guide for Outsiders Protecting Yourself from Politicians and Experts
$ 9.04
Description
Please refer to the section BELOW (and NOT ABOVE ) this line for the product details - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Title: Survival Guide For Outsiders: How To Protect Yourself From Politicians, Experts, And Other Insiders ISBN13: 9781500132309 ISBN10: 1500132306 Author: Stein, Sherman K. (Author) Description: (This is a RePrint) - Politicians, Business Leaders, And So-Called Experts And Pundits Are Insiders With Stakes In Public Decisions They Use Tricks To Rig Things In Their Favor Outsiders Have A Stake In The Action And A Role To Play But How Can They Cut Through The Flimflam To See What Should Be Done? Sherman Stein's Survival Guide For Outsiders Has The Answer Stein Begins With The Model: How We Interpret What Is Out There He Shows How Insiders Shape Our Opinions By Omission And Misrepresentation An Argument That Smells Fishy Is Probably The Dead Fish You Thought It Was Often Forming No Opinion Is The Best Course Stein Shows That In Many Situations There Is No Best Policy, But Rather We Have A Choice Between Incomparables He Shows How Hidden Choices Often Guide Us He Shows The Uses And Misuses Of Number To Guide Policy, With Special Attention To Probabilities And The Grimp (Gigantic Risk With Incredibly Minute Probability) All Policy Is Influenced By Experts, Some Of Whom Act As Shamans, Providing Vision And Assurance That Things Will Work As Planned, While Others Serve As Pros - Such As The Engineers Or Doctors On Whom We Count For Their Knowledge And Skills Sherman Stein Looks At The Record Of Expert Judgment And Finds It Often Wrong His Case Studies Reinforce Philip Tetlock's Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? Summing Up, Stein Shows How The Action Principle Drives Us To Do Something When We Would Be Better Off Not Acting He Outlines Our Limits, Concluding On A Note Of Good Cheer Contents The Journey Perception: How Things Appear The Model And Us Frivolous Ones The Bull's Eye And The Rings Veneer Distortion By Omission Distortion By Commission The Art Of No Opinion The Dead-Fish Principle Choice: How We Decide The Incomparables Hidden Choice Number: The Influence Of Numbers On Policy } Beware The Number Second Warning About Numbers Third Warning About Numbers Where Did That Number Come From? A Scale For Uncertainty It Will Definitely Happen, Perhaps Just Try To Measure It The Grimp What Is A Job? The Professional And The Shaman Expert Creep Telling A Professional From A Shaman The Shaman-Layman Contract The Audit Spinoff And Side Effect The Scientific Method Prophecy: Modeling The Future Casual Audits Serious Audits The Action Syndrome Limits Be Of Good Cheer Notes Indexes Binding: Paperback, Paperback Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform Publication Date: 2014-06-08 Weight: 0.85 lbs Dimensions: 0.6'' H x 9.02'' L x 5.98'' W Number of Pages: 288 Language: English
The seller promptly shipped my book but the USPS (as incompetent as they are) list the book . After almost 4 weeks the seller refunded my purchase price , then lo and behold USPS , after a month had finally delivered the book . No fault of the seller , I felt obligated to pay for the book but in their professionalism they told me to just keep the book . They still deserve positive feedback. They kept in touch with me about the book . In no way are they to blame . I highly recommend this seller .
The quality, condition, value and appearance was what I was hoping for. The book came in excellent condition, also it was exactly like the picture and description that was illustrated from the seller. It came in a timely manner 3 days ahead of time. I received notification about the book tell me it shipped but I received no tracking number so I read a few comments and realize that some of the other buyers had the same issue. To other buyers be patient it will come and in my case it came early.
Reliable SELLERS like this one are the reason why I’ve started using and following these professionals on eBay and have left the terrible Amazon shipped products. Absolutely 100% perfect transaction. Item arrived earlier than expected, well packaged and in absolutely MINT appearance and condition!!! Amazon would learn a thing or two when it comes to businesses like this where the price is right and the item actually arrives as described and in perfect collector's quality. A+!!!
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